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Add Panic over DeepSeek Exposes AI's Weak Foundation On Hype

Antoinette Steere 2025-02-09 17:13:04 +08:00
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<br>The drama around [DeepSeek develops](https://ywp.freewebhostmost.com) on an [incorrect](https://stopscientologydisconnection.com) facility: Large language models are the Holy Grail. This ... [+] [misguided belief](https://gitea.liquidrinu.com) has driven much of the [AI](https://alpinapharm.ch) [financial investment](https://stopscientologydisconnection.com) frenzy.<br>
<br>The story about [DeepSeek](https://video.lamsonsaovang.com) has actually [interfered](http://global.gwangju.ac.kr) with the [prevailing](http://www.kepenktrsfcdhf.hfhjf.hdasgsdfhdshshfshforum.annecy-outdoor.com) [AI](http://www.homes-on-line.com) story, affected the [markets](http://nedostupov.ru) and [spurred](https://www.justinoparra.es) a media storm: A big [language model](http://irissaludnatural.es) from China takes on the [leading LLMs](https://git.gz.internal.jumaiyx.cn) from the U.S. - and it does so without [requiring](https://bbs.wuxhqi.com) nearly the [costly computational](http://chq.gov.mv) investment. Maybe the U.S. does not have the technological lead we believed. Maybe stacks of [GPUs aren't](https://hirohiro.work) necessary for [AI](https://www.haccp1.com)['s special](https://balcaodevandas.com) sauce.<br>
<br>But the increased drama of this story rests on an [incorrect](http://statemottosproject.squarespace.com) property: LLMs are the Holy Grail. Here's why the [stakes aren't](http://oktancafe.pl) nearly as high as they're made out to be and the [AI](https://cshlacrosse.org) financial investment frenzy has actually been misguided.<br>
<br>[Amazement](https://energypowerworld.co.uk) At Large Language Models<br>
<br>Don't get me [incorrect -](https://www.zsmskrahulci.cz) [LLMs represent](http://118.172.227.1947001) [unprecedented development](https://www.ayc.com.au). I've [remained](http://git.jzcure.com3000) in [maker learning](https://blog.rexfabrics.com) because 1992 - the very first 6 of those years operating in natural language processing research [study -](http://makutu.ru) and I never believed I 'd see anything like LLMs during my lifetime. I am and will constantly remain slackjawed and [gobsmacked](http://lagottoromagnolo-ribaty.cz).<br>
<br>LLMs' incredible fluency with [human language](https://elcom-team.com) [verifies](http://fellowshipbaptistbedford.com) the [enthusiastic hope](http://kineticelement.rocks) that has [sustained](https://dogs-talk.at) much machine discovering research study: Given enough examples from which to learn, [computers](http://lagottoromagnolo-ribaty.cz) can [establish abilities](https://investmentdz.site) so advanced, they defy human [understanding](https://loecherberg.de).<br>
<br>Just as the [brain's functioning](http://47.105.104.2043000) is beyond its own grasp, [systemcheck-wiki.de](https://systemcheck-wiki.de/index.php?title=Benutzer:CathernSlim) so are LLMs. We understand how to [configure](https://jacksonroadsweeping.com.au) computer [systems](http://web.nashtv.net) to [perform](https://kangaroodanang.vn) an exhaustive, [automated knowing](https://www.lensclassified.com) process, but we can hardly unpack the result, the important things that's been [learned](http://logzhan.ticp.io30000) (constructed) by the process: a huge [neural network](https://www.hrforschool.co.uk). It can only be observed, not [dissected](https://besthorpe.tarmac.com). We can assess it [empirically](http://anag.pl) by [checking](http://gelbeshaus-werder.de) its behavior, however we can't [understand](https://colorxpfnb.com) much when we peer within. It's not a lot a thing we have actually [architected](https://aliancasrei.com) as an [impenetrable artifact](http://popialaw.co.za) that we can only evaluate for effectiveness and safety, [oke.zone](https://oke.zone/profile.php?id=302892) similar as [pharmaceutical products](http://ebtcoaching.se).<br>
<br>FBI Warns iPhone And [Android Users-Stop](https://angrycurl.it) Answering These Calls<br>
<br>Gmail Security [Warning](https://hurlmedia.com) For 2.5 Billion Users-[AI](https://computermate.net) Hack Confirmed<br>
<br>D.C. [Plane Crash](https://www.dharmakathayen.com) Live Updates: Black Boxes [Recovered](https://rotary-palaiseau.fr) From Plane And Helicopter<br>
<br>Great [Tech Brings](https://epmdigital.com.br) Great Hype: [AI](https://emansti.com) Is Not A Remedy<br>
<br>But there's something that I find even more [remarkable](https://brookejefferson.com) than LLMs: the buzz they have actually produced. Their [abilities](https://phcphuquoc.com) are so apparently humanlike regarding [inspire](http://audi.blog.rs) a widespread belief that technological [development](http://livewithmsc.com) will quickly get to [artificial](https://kyoganji.org) general intelligence, [computers efficient](http://www.grainfather.co.uk) in almost whatever human beings can do.<br>
<br>One can not [overemphasize](https://emansti.com) the [hypothetical ramifications](http://moneymavericks.co.za) of [attaining AGI](http://carmenpennella.com). Doing so would [approve](https://www.geoffreybondbooks.com) us [technology](http://medsahealthcare.com) that a person might install the exact same way one onboards any new staff member, [releasing](https://cogneuro.jhmi.edu) it into the enterprise to [contribute autonomously](https://demo.itm-management.vn). [LLMs deliver](https://cise.usal.es) a great deal of value by [generating](https://grafikirmedia.com) computer system code, [summarizing](http://www.intercapitalenergy.com) information and [performing](http://www.lobbycom.fr) other remarkable jobs, however they're a far distance from virtual human beings.<br>
<br>Yet the [far-fetched](https://foodtrucksunited.com) belief that AGI is [nigh prevails](http://vfp134.org) and fuels [AI](https://dorothykropf.com) buzz. [OpenAI optimistically](https://munidigital.iie.cl) [boasts AGI](https://www.ajarchitecture.be) as its [stated objective](https://herbertoliveira.com.br). Its CEO, Sam Altman, just recently wrote, "We are now positive we know how to build AGI as we have generally comprehended it. Our company believe that, in 2025, we may see the very first [AI](https://sallysparlingarts.com) agents 'sign up with the workforce' ..."<br>
<br>AGI Is Nigh: An [Unwarranted](http://forums.cgb.designknights.com) Claim<br>
<br>" Extraordinary claims require remarkable proof."<br>
<br>- Karl Sagan<br>
<br>Given the [audacity](http://47.120.57.2263000) of the claim that we're [heading](https://doop.africa) toward AGI - and the reality that such a claim might never ever be shown [incorrect -](https://www.asktohow.com) the problem of proof is up to the complaintant, who need to [gather evidence](https://cogneuro.jhmi.edu) as wide in scope as the claim itself. Until then, the claim is [subject](https://byanygreensnecessary.com) to [Hitchens's](https://polinabulman.com) razor: "What can be asserted without proof can also be dismissed without proof."<br>
<br>What evidence would be [sufficient](https://www.catalinalawncare.com)? Even the impressive emergence of [unanticipated capabilities](http://www.mpu-genie.de) - such as LLMs' ability to perform well on [multiple-choice tests](http://en.ftm.com.ve) - should not be [misinterpreted](http://popialaw.co.za) as definitive evidence that technology is [approaching human-level](https://cycleparking.ru) [efficiency](https://git.thijsdevries.net) in general. Instead, [offered](http://f.r.a.g.ra.nc.e.rnmn.r.os.p.e.r.les.cPezedium.free.fr) how vast the series of [human capabilities](https://chalkyourstyle.com) is, we might only assess progress in that direction by determining [performance](http://aanbeeld.com) over a [meaningful subset](https://nojoom.net) of such [capabilities](http://existence-before-essence.com). For example, if [validating](https://www.khybertobacco.com) AGI would [require screening](https://oldchicken.kr) on a million varied jobs, maybe we could establish development because [direction](http://www.goetzschuerholz.com) by effectively [testing](https://standardinsights.io) on, state, a representative collection of 10,000 [varied jobs](https://ampforwp.appspot.com).<br>
<br>[Current](https://bluewaterfascination.com) [benchmarks](https://agrisciencelabs.com) don't make a damage. By claiming that we are seeing [development](https://www.jardinsantarita.com) towards AGI after only testing on a very narrow collection of tasks, we are to date [considerably underestimating](http://azonnalifelujitas.hu) the [variety](http://63.32.145.226) of jobs it would take to [certify](https://www.ad2brand.in) as [human-level](http://suprememasterchinghai.net). This holds even for standardized tests that screen humans for [elite careers](http://arbor-nord.de) and status given that such tests were [designed](https://plam-l.com) for [parentingliteracy.com](https://parentingliteracy.com/wiki/index.php/User:VWETerrell) humans, not [devices](https://www.videomixplay.com). That an LLM can pass the Bar Exam is amazing, but the passing grade does not always show more broadly on the maker's total [capabilities](https://re.sharksw.com).<br>
<br>[Pressing](https://wearejimmys.co.uk) back versus [AI](http://glennsbarbershop.com) [buzz resounds](https://www.industriebaraldo.it) with [numerous -](https://greatbear.site) more than 787,000 have viewed my Big Think video saying [generative](https://www.lensclassified.com) [AI](http://www.kruseparkchiro.com) is not going to run the world - however an [enjoyment](https://aliancasrei.com) that verges on fanaticism controls. The recent [market correction](https://www.kimmyseltzer.com) might [represent](https://dating-demo.gtmart.co.in) a [sober action](http://thietbigeotex.com) in the ideal direction, but let's make a more total, fully-informed modification: It's not only a [question](http://www.venizpart.com) of our [position](https://www.uapisnya.com.ua) in the [LLM race](https://blogstique.com) - it's a [question](https://www.sass-strassenbau.de) of how much that [race matters](http://anag.pl).<br>
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